Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Corinthians with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 18 (before the first match) against those on May 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 30.5% | 18.5% | −12.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 30.6% | 20.4% | −10.1 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 23.3% | 32.4% | +9.1 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 17.2% | 8.8% | −8.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 17.7% | 24.8% | +7.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 15.2% | 8.4% | −6.9 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 9.1% | 15.1% | +6.0 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 12.2% | 18.0% | +5.8 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 11.4% | 6.3% | −5.1 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 51.9% | 47.0% | −4.9 |
