Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Bahia with a 24.5% chance and Grêmio beat São Paulo with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 9 (before the first match) against those on August 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 71.7% | 54.9% | −16.8 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 50.9% | 39.0% | −11.9 |
| Vasco | Champion | 26.5% | 16.5% | −10.0 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 46.5% | 56.3% | +9.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 22.0% | 13.5% | −8.5 |
| Sport | Relegation | 54.1% | 61.6% | +7.5 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 21.3% | 27.6% | +6.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 12.3% | 18.6% | +6.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 37.1% | 43.0% | +5.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 61.8% | 67.4% | +5.6 |
