Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Portuguesa beat Grêmio with a 17.6% chance, Bahia beat Ponte Preta with a 23.3% chance, and Santos beat Figueirense with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 12 (before the first match) against those on August 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 54.9% | 71.9% | +17.0 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 56.3% | 43.2% | −13.1 |
| Sport | Relegation | 61.6% | 72.5% | +10.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 15.3% | 26.1% | +10.7 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 32.8% | 22.2% | −10.6 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 25.6% | 15.8% | −9.8 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 38.4% | 31.3% | −7.1 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 64.5% | 70.9% | +6.4 |
| Santos | Relegation | 17.2% | 10.8% | −6.4 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 18.6% | 12.6% | −5.9 |
