Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Palmeiras beat Botafogo with a 19.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 5 (before the first match) against those on August 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 50.4% | 36.2% | −14.2 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 58.5% | 71.7% | +13.2 |
| Sport | Relegation | 44.4% | 54.1% | +9.7 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 41.8% | 50.9% | +9.1 |
| Santos | Relegation | 25.6% | 16.9% | −8.7 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 17.6% | 10.9% | −6.7 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 46.1% | 51.3% | +5.2 |
| Vasco | Champion | 21.4% | 26.5% | +5.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 56.7% | 61.8% | +5.1 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 11.8% | 7.1% | −4.7 |
