Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 4 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 26 (before the first match) against those on July 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 56.2% | 43.5% | −12.8 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 42.2% | 51.2% | +9.0 |
| Santos | Relegation | 27.1% | 19.5% | −7.6 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 19.5% | 12.2% | −7.2 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 35.4% | 42.2% | +6.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 17.3% | 23.3% | +6.0 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 45.0% | 50.5% | +5.5 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 41.6% | 36.3% | −5.3 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 7.3% | 11.3% | +4.1 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 16.8% | 13.1% | −3.6 |
