Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Palmeiras with a 19.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 22 (before the first match) against those on July 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Relegation | 50.6% | 34.9% | −15.7 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 23.6% | 35.4% | +11.7 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 53.0% | 41.6% | −11.4 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 33.9% | 45.0% | +11.1 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 73.8% | 64.0% | −9.8 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 29.7% | 20.0% | −9.7 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 28.7% | 19.5% | −9.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 49.0% | 57.4% | +8.4 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 34.2% | 42.2% | +8.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 27.6% | 34.4% | +6.8 |
