Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat Botafogo with a 21.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 19 (before the first match) against those on July 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 37.1% | 23.6% | −13.4 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 25.8% | 33.9% | +8.1 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 12.1% | 4.8% | −7.3 |
| Sport | Relegation | 31.8% | 38.9% | +7.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 42.2% | 49.0% | +6.8 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores Second Round | 20.1% | 13.6% | −6.5 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 64.7% | 58.7% | −6.0 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores Second Round | 14.2% | 9.2% | −5.1 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 18.0% | 23.0% | +5.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 23.0% | 27.6% | +4.6 |
