Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Grêmio with a 22.7% chance and Botafogo beat São Paulo with a 15.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 9 (before the first match) against those on May 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 24.0% | 12.9% | −11.1 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 30.5% | 19.8% | −10.8 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 43.6% | 33.3% | −10.3 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 12.3% | 20.1% | +7.8 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 14.2% | 21.7% | +7.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 15.3% | 22.6% | +7.3 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 20.1% | 13.2% | −6.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 16.6% | 10.0% | −6.6 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 8.2% | 14.5% | +6.3 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 58.8% | 64.9% | +6.1 |
