Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Internacional with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 7 (before the first match) against those on May 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará | Relegation | 56.9% | 40.8% | −16.1 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 49.8% | 34.4% | −15.5 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 13.4% | 24.0% | +10.6 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 25.4% | 15.3% | −10.0 |
| Avaí | Libertadores | 15.8% | 24.3% | +8.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 19.6% | 28.1% | +8.5 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 35.9% | 43.6% | +7.7 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 20.6% | 27.1% | +6.5 |
| Internacional | Champion | 13.6% | 7.3% | −6.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 10.2% | 16.1% | +5.9 |
