Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat Vitória with a 22.8% chance and Santos beat Grêmio Barueri with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 25 (before the first match) against those on August 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Relegation | 31.3% | 17.4% | −13.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 38.8% | 47.4% | +8.6 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 39.5% | 48.1% | +8.6 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 17.4% | 25.5% | +8.1 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 26.0% | 32.7% | +6.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 12.3% | 18.9% | +6.6 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 27.2% | 20.7% | −6.5 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 22.8% | 29.0% | +6.3 |
| Santos | Relegation | 12.9% | 6.7% | −6.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 31.9% | 37.8% | +5.9 |
