Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Goiás with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 22 (before the first match) against those on July 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 48.9% | 31.9% | −16.9 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 45.1% | 33.6% | −11.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 36.4% | 47.7% | +11.3 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 15.3% | 26.0% | +10.7 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 20.8% | 29.2% | +8.4 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 74.8% | 81.8% | +7.0 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 31.1% | 37.6% | +6.5 |
| Santos | Relegation | 19.1% | 12.9% | −6.2 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 21.9% | 27.2% | +5.3 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 18.8% | 13.8% | −5.0 |
