Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Náutico with a 23.9% chance and Grêmio Barueri beat Cruzeiro with a 18.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 13 (before the first match) against those on June 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 32.8% | 18.4% | −14.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 47.9% | 60.9% | +12.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 20.6% | 32.1% | +11.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 53.1% | 41.9% | −11.2 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 37.8% | 27.7% | −10.1 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 58.2% | 48.3% | −9.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 11.7% | 21.4% | +9.7 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 24.6% | 15.2% | −9.4 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 25.9% | 35.0% | +9.2 |
| Internacional | Champion | 25.2% | 16.2% | −9.0 |
