Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Sport with a 16.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 30 (before the first match) against those on June 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 19.4% | 47.9% | +28.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 36.2% | 14.1% | −22.1 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 54.0% | 32.8% | −21.3 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 9.3% | 25.9% | +16.5 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 42.3% | 58.2% | +15.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 5.9% | 20.6% | +14.7 |
| Náutico | Libertadores | 20.7% | 7.5% | −13.1 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 17.4% | 30.5% | +13.1 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 29.8% | 19.5% | −10.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 13.5% | 3.5% | −10.0 |
