Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Botafogo with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 21 (before the first match) against those on June 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 60.9% | 48.1% | −12.8 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 24.6% | 36.9% | +12.3 |
| Sport | Relegation | 37.5% | 26.1% | −11.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 32.1% | 21.2% | −10.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 41.9% | 52.8% | +10.9 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 53.7% | 43.0% | −10.7 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 30.6% | 40.9% | +10.4 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 35.0% | 44.0% | +8.9 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 15.5% | 7.1% | −8.4 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 9.8% | 18.1% | +8.4 |
