Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atletico-MG beat Goiás with a 23.5% chance, Botafogo beat Internacional with a 19.7% chance, and Fluminense beat Cruzeiro with a 18.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 29 (before the first match) against those on November 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 42.0% | 69.5% | +27.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 40.0% | 14.5% | −25.6 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 42.3% | 17.8% | −24.5 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 38.5% | 61.4% | +22.8 |
| Avaí | Sudamericana | 32.2% | 53.9% | +21.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 54.9% | 75.8% | +20.9 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 58.1% | 39.7% | −18.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 25.0% | 7.6% | −17.4 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 59.6% | 42.9% | −16.7 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 45.1% | 30.2% | −14.9 |
