Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Vitória with a 22.5% chance and Flamengo beat Atletico-MG with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 1 (before the first match) against those on November 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 30.1% | 61.8% | +31.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 69.5% | 40.5% | −29.0 |
| Avaí | Sudamericana | 53.9% | 81.5% | +27.6 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 42.9% | 19.0% | −24.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 14.5% | 38.0% | +23.6 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 33.0% | 11.4% | −21.6 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 46.4% | 67.6% | +21.2 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 30.2% | 13.0% | −17.3 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 79.5% | 94.1% | +14.6 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 54.5% | 40.7% | −13.8 |
