Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Vitória with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 25 (before the first match) against those on October 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 18.3% | 39.2% | +20.9 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 56.3% | 36.7% | −19.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 53.9% | 71.6% | +17.8 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 41.7% | 58.1% | +16.5 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 60.9% | 45.1% | −15.7 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 29.2% | 14.8% | −14.5 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 33.6% | 21.3% | −12.2 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 53.6% | 42.3% | −11.3 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 48.4% | 59.6% | +11.2 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 79.6% | 90.6% | +11.0 |
