Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 6 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat Sport with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 4 (before the first match) against those on October 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Libertadores | 39.4% | 55.2% | +15.8 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 43.6% | 29.7% | −13.9 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 22.2% | 34.7% | +12.6 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 38.7% | 26.1% | −12.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 34.3% | 45.6% | +11.4 |
| Sport | Relegation | 83.2% | 93.4% | +10.2 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Sudamericana | 30.3% | 21.9% | −8.4 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 82.6% | 88.5% | +5.9 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 31.0% | 25.1% | −5.9 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 69.3% | 63.5% | −5.8 |
