Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Corinthians with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 16 (before the first match) against those on September 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Champion | 31.9% | 49.0% | +17.1 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 23.0% | 37.4% | +14.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 70.5% | 57.6% | −12.9 |
| Internacional | Champion | 29.2% | 16.7% | −12.5 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 72.3% | 84.2% | +11.9 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 23.1% | 13.0% | −10.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 28.5% | 18.8% | −9.7 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 32.8% | 42.4% | +9.6 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 32.7% | 42.3% | +9.6 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 17.0% | 26.0% | +9.0 |
