Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Internacional with a 19.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 6 (before the first match) against those on September 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Libertadores | 82.0% | 70.5% | −11.6 |
| Internacional | Champion | 40.0% | 29.2% | −10.9 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 50.8% | 61.3% | +10.5 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 12.3% | 21.9% | +9.5 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 45.7% | 54.6% | +8.9 |
| Avaí | Sudamericana | 47.9% | 39.2% | −8.7 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 31.4% | 23.0% | −8.3 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 9.3% | 17.0% | +7.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 21.0% | 28.5% | +7.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 10.9% | 3.5% | −7.4 |
