Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Fluminense with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 12 (before the first match) against those on August 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Relegation | 55.8% | 37.7% | −18.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 46.7% | 33.6% | −13.1 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 68.6% | 80.8% | +12.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 27.3% | 15.1% | −12.2 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 48.9% | 60.7% | +11.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 54.0% | 65.1% | +11.1 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 28.1% | 38.3% | +10.2 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 37.8% | 28.9% | −8.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 33.1% | 41.9% | +8.8 |
| Internacional | Champion | 20.2% | 28.2% | +8.0 |
