Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Botafogo with a 19.9% chance and Cruzeiro beat Coritiba with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 6 (before the first match) against those on August 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 43.3% | 27.3% | −16.0 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 33.7% | 18.9% | −14.8 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 41.4% | 55.8% | +14.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 42.6% | 54.0% | +11.3 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 50.9% | 41.2% | −9.7 |
| Sport | Relegation | 68.5% | 77.3% | +8.9 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 26.3% | 18.0% | −8.3 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 64.6% | 56.8% | −7.7 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 41.3% | 48.9% | +7.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 20.6% | 28.1% | +7.5 |
