Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Santo André beat Botafogo with a 19.9% chance, Corinthians beat Internacional with a 18.3% chance, and Cruzeiro beat Flamengo with a 21.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 16 (before the first match) against those on August 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Relegation | 16.3% | 28.9% | +12.6 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 37.5% | 25.0% | −12.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 38.3% | 50.0% | +11.7 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 60.7% | 49.6% | −11.2 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 65.1% | 55.2% | −9.9 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 61.7% | 52.8% | −8.9 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 17.7% | 8.9% | −8.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 15.1% | 23.2% | +8.1 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 40.0% | 32.2% | −7.8 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 20.9% | 28.5% | +7.6 |
