Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Cruzeiro with a 19.2% chance and Santos beat Coritiba with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 2 (before the first match) against those on September 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 60.7% | 21.7% | −39.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 51.8% | 13.1% | −38.7 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 8.6% | 40.1% | +31.5 |
| Sport | Relegation | 57.5% | 86.7% | +29.2 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 43.5% | 71.6% | +28.1 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 76.2% | 48.9% | −27.3 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 31.6% | 5.4% | −26.1 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 14.8% | 38.1% | +23.3 |
| Internacional | Champion | 12.3% | 32.1% | +19.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 29.2% | 48.3% | +19.2 |
