Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Vitória with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 30 (before the first match) against those on August 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 72.8% | 16.0% | −56.9 |
| Sport | Relegation | 50.4% | 86.4% | +36.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 10.9% | 42.1% | +31.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 46.9% | 24.7% | −22.2 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 40.2% | 20.4% | −19.8 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 33.9% | 51.7% | +17.8 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 20.7% | 3.0% | −17.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 1.6% | 18.1% | +16.5 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 78.2% | 62.1% | −16.1 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 13.7% | 29.4% | +15.6 |
