Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Cruzeiro with a 22.8% chance and Avaí beat Sport with a 19.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 16 (before the first match) against those on July 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Relegation | 53.6% | 33.8% | −19.8 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 52.8% | 65.0% | +12.3 |
| Sport | Relegation | 26.4% | 37.9% | +11.6 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 60.1% | 51.3% | −8.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 29.5% | 37.6% | +8.1 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 62.0% | 69.8% | +7.8 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 19.5% | 11.9% | −7.5 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 31.5% | 39.0% | +7.5 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 12.4% | 5.1% | −7.3 |
| Avaí | Sudamericana | 8.0% | 15.0% | +7.0 |
