Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Goiás with a 15.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 12 (before the first match) against those on August 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Relegation | 71.9% | 0.6% | −71.3 |
| Sport | Relegation | 20.9% | 85.1% | +64.2 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 44.5% | 90.0% | +45.5 |
| Avaí | Sudamericana | 3.4% | 46.7% | +43.4 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 40.8% | 3.5% | −37.3 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 6.4% | 43.1% | +36.7 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 14.9% | 50.9% | +36.1 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 40.3% | 72.0% | +31.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 55.2% | 24.0% | −31.2 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 13.5% | 36.4% | +22.9 |
