Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santo André beat Fluminense with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 8 (before the first match) against those on July 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 41.2% | 55.2% | +14.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 51.5% | 38.0% | −13.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 64.2% | 51.3% | −12.8 |
| Internacional | Champion | 33.5% | 22.0% | −11.5 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 28.2% | 16.8% | −11.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 18.4% | 28.8% | +10.4 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 33.7% | 23.4% | −10.3 |
| Vitória | Libertadores | 31.1% | 40.8% | +9.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 15.5% | 24.4% | +8.8 |
| Sport | Relegation | 29.6% | 20.9% | −8.7 |
