Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Goiás with a 21.5% chance, Náutico beat Paraná with a 18.8% chance, and Fluminense beat Sport with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 2 (before the first match) against those on September 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Relegation | 23.0% | 42.3% | +19.3 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 32.4% | 18.8% | −13.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 22.0% | 35.5% | +13.4 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 83.2% | 71.1% | −12.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 34.1% | 22.2% | −11.9 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 36.4% | 48.3% | +11.9 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 54.2% | 43.9% | −10.2 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 38.1% | 48.1% | +10.1 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 22.8% | 32.6% | +9.8 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 53.2% | 61.9% | +8.7 |
