Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Brasiliense with a 24.3% chance and Juventude beat Fluminense with a 20.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 20 (before the first match) against those on November 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 50.2% | 13.6% | −36.6 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 66.3% | 100% | +33.7 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 24.6% | 0% | −24.6 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 73.3% | 57.4% | −15.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 60.3% | 47.6% | −12.7 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 39.7% | 52.4% | +12.7 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 10.3% | 22.2% | +12.0 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 41.4% | 52.4% | +11.0 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 58.6% | 47.6% | −11.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 91.6% | 100% | +8.4 |
