Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 8 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: São Caetano beat Cruzeiro with a 20.3% chance, Atletico-MG beat Juventude with a 20.5% chance, and Flamengo beat Paysandu with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 27 (before the first match) against those on December 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 47.6% | 0% | −47.6 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 52.4% | 100% | +47.6 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 52.4% | 100% | +47.6 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 47.6% | 0% | −47.6 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 57.4% | 100% | +42.6 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 71.6% | 100% | +28.4 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 22.2% | 0% | −22.2 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 19.3% | 0% | −19.3 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 13.6% | 0% | −13.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 9.1% | 0% | −9.1 |
