Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat Paraná with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 17 (before the first match) against those on November 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 9.5% | 41.4% | +31.9 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 90.5% | 58.6% | −31.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 90.7% | 60.3% | −30.4 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 9.3% | 39.7% | +30.4 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 86.9% | 66.3% | −20.6 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 59.9% | 73.3% | +13.4 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 53.4% | 65.3% | +11.8 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 39.2% | 50.2% | +11.0 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 9.9% | <0.1% | −9.9 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 18.7% | 24.6% | +5.9 |
