Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Cruzeiro with a 22.5% chance and Atletico-MG beat Fluminense with a 17.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 13 (before the first match) against those on November 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 83.0% | 99.0% | +16.1 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 45.9% | 39.2% | −6.7 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 96.7% | 90.7% | −6.0 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 3.3% | 9.3% | +6.0 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 95.1% | 89.8% | −5.2 |
| Internacional | Champion | 4.6% | 9.8% | +5.3 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 23.6% | 18.7% | −4.9 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 25.0% | 20.4% | −4.6 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 5.1% | 9.5% | +4.5 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 94.9% | 90.5% | −4.5 |
