Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 7 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Athletico-PR with a 20.0% chance and Paraná beat Palmeiras with a 15.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 8 (before the first match) against those on May 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 43.8% | 58.8% | +15.0 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 42.5% | 57.4% | +14.9 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 58.7% | 45.5% | −13.2 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 67.0% | 54.3% | −12.7 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 33.1% | 21.6% | −11.4 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 29.0% | 17.7% | −11.3 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 17.9% | 29.1% | +11.2 |
| Juventude | Libertadores | 27.5% | 38.6% | +11.1 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 52.0% | 40.9% | −11.1 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 28.8% | 39.4% | +10.5 |
