Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Fluminense with a 17.8% chance and Internacional beat Athletico-PR with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 15 (before the first match) against those on May 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 58.8% | 40.5% | −18.3 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 45.5% | 28.4% | −17.2 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 29.1% | 15.5% | −13.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 28.0% | 40.5% | +12.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 18.8% | 31.0% | +12.3 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 38.5% | 26.4% | −12.1 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 22.5% | 11.7% | −10.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 16.9% | 26.9% | +10.0 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 28.2% | 18.4% | −9.8 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 15.6% | 25.3% | +9.7 |
