Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Corinthians with a 24.0% chance and Brasiliense beat Atletico-MG with a 14.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 1 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 14.7% | 99.3% | +84.6 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 2.6% | 78.0% | +75.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 7.3% | 79.4% | +72.1 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 16.6% | 77.4% | +60.9 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 63.5% | 6.3% | −57.2 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 17.3% | 71.1% | +53.8 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 28.3% | 80.2% | +51.9 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 56.2% | 5.1% | −51.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 15.1% | 65.2% | +50.1 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 36.2% | 78.5% | +42.2 |
