Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atletico-MG beat Paysandu with a 22.9% chance and Internacional beat Santos with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 6 (before the first match) against those on November 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 50.6% | 23.6% | −27.0 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 37.6% | 62.7% | +25.2 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 30.8% | 49.4% | +18.6 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 81.4% | 94.5% | +13.1 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 55.0% | 45.9% | −9.1 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 20.4% | 12.7% | −7.7 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 17.5% | 25.0% | +7.5 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 16.4% | 9.9% | −6.5 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 92.6% | 86.1% | −6.5 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 90.1% | 95.9% | +5.8 |
