Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat São Caetano with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 3 (before the first match) against those on November 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Relegation | 42.5% | 20.4% | −22.1 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 68.9% | 90.1% | +21.2 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 31.1% | 9.9% | −21.2 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 54.3% | 37.6% | −16.7 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 19.9% | 4.4% | −15.5 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 20.3% | 6.1% | −14.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 72.6% | 86.9% | +14.2 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 79.4% | 93.3% | +13.9 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 37.0% | 50.6% | +13.6 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 42.0% | 55.0% | +12.9 |
