Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Goiás with a 22.8% chance and Flamengo beat Palmeiras with a 17.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 31 (before the first match) against those on November 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 75.9% | 95.0% | +19.1 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 24.1% | 5.0% | −19.1 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 61.2% | 42.5% | −18.7 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 38.4% | 20.3% | −18.1 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 61.5% | 79.4% | +17.9 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 19.7% | 37.0% | +17.3 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 39.0% | 54.3% | +15.2 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 71.5% | 86.5% | +15.0 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 55.2% | 42.0% | −13.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 82.4% | 72.6% | −9.7 |
