Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Santos with a 20.8% chance and São Paulo beat São Caetano with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 28 (before the first match) against those on October 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 34.3% | 55.2% | +20.9 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 22.2% | 5.8% | −16.4 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 35.5% | 19.7% | −15.8 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 77.0% | 92.0% | +15.0 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 75.4% | 61.2% | −14.2 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 24.9% | 38.4% | +13.5 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 74.3% | 61.5% | −12.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 70.5% | 82.4% | +11.8 |
| São Caetano | Sudamericana | 17.4% | 6.5% | −11.0 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 26.9% | 17.9% | −9.0 |
