Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 1 home win, 2 draws and 8 away wins. 6 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Coritiba with a 24.0% chance, Internacional beat Goiás with a 22.8% chance, Fortaleza beat Atletico-MG with a 23.1% chance, Botafogo beat Ponte Preta with a 22.4% chance, Brasiliense beat São Paulo with a 17.7% chance, and São Caetano beat Paraná with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 24 (before the first match) against those on October 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 86.4% | 64.1% | −22.3 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 24.2% | 43.4% | +19.1 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 53.4% | 34.3% | −19.1 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 74.9% | 93.6% | +18.6 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 25.0% | 6.5% | −18.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Sudamericana | 35.9% | 17.9% | −17.9 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 42.3% | 24.9% | −17.4 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 57.1% | 74.3% | +17.2 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 18.1% | 34.1% | +16.0 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 69.3% | 84.5% | +15.2 |
