Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat São Paulo with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 19 (before the first match) against those on October 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 59.0% | 43.0% | −16.0 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 35.8% | 22.9% | −12.8 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 73.1% | 60.9% | −12.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Sudamericana | 46.4% | 34.3% | −12.1 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 78.5% | 90.5% | +12.0 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 21.5% | 9.5% | −12.0 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 75.0% | 86.1% | +11.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 63.2% | 74.1% | +10.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 56.9% | 67.3% | +10.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 65.2% | 73.5% | +8.3 |
