Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat Figueirense with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 24 (before the first match) against those on May 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Relegation | 29.2% | 17.3% | −11.9 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 20.5% | 9.4% | −11.1 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 25.5% | 14.7% | −10.9 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 22.7% | 32.5% | +9.9 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 11.4% | 20.9% | +9.5 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 32.1% | 41.3% | +9.2 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 55.1% | 63.5% | +8.4 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 28.4% | 36.8% | +8.4 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 24.5% | 32.3% | +7.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 25.0% | 17.4% | −7.6 |
