Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat São Caetano with a 22.0% chance and São Paulo beat Cruzeiro with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 18 (before the first match) against those on September 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Libertadores | 60.1% | 74.1% | +14.1 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 28.9% | 42.2% | +13.3 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 35.7% | 24.5% | −11.3 |
| Internacional | Champion | 15.3% | 26.3% | +11.0 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 46.3% | 56.0% | +9.7 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 21.6% | 31.1% | +9.5 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 48.6% | 57.7% | +9.0 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 87.7% | 78.7% | −9.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 21.8% | 13.0% | −8.8 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 40.5% | 49.2% | +8.7 |
