Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fortaleza beat Brasiliense with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on September 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 33.3% | 48.8% | +15.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 60.4% | 46.1% | −14.3 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 52.9% | 40.5% | −12.4 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 69.7% | 80.4% | +10.8 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 53.2% | 42.6% | −10.6 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 56.5% | 46.3% | −10.2 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 24.4% | 34.6% | +10.2 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 40.4% | 49.6% | +9.2 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 43.5% | 52.5% | +9.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 51.1% | 60.1% | +9.0 |
