Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Paysandu beat São Caetano with a 19.5% chance, Palmeiras beat Paraná with a 23.0% chance, Botafogo beat Atletico-MG with a 23.2% chance, and São Paulo beat Coritiba with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 8 (before the first match) against those on October 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Champion | 19.0% | 84.4% | +65.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 19.1% | 75.0% | +55.9 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 34.5% | 86.4% | +51.9 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 32.8% | 82.3% | +49.4 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 62.3% | 13.2% | −49.1 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 49.3% | 91.6% | +42.3 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 12.9% | 53.4% | +40.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 60.9% | >99.9% | +39.1 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 43.1% | 5.2% | −37.9 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 94.2% | 56.3% | −37.9 |
