Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Paraná with a 19.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 25 (before the first match) against those on August 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Libertadores | 46.8% | 32.0% | −14.8 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 43.1% | 57.5% | +14.4 |
| São Paulo | Relegation | 35.9% | 22.4% | −13.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 31.7% | 42.6% | +10.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 47.3% | 57.6% | +10.4 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 52.4% | 62.1% | +9.8 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 41.8% | 50.6% | +8.8 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 27.2% | 36.0% | +8.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 68.5% | 60.9% | −7.6 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 30.3% | 22.9% | −7.4 |
