Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Ponte Preta with a 21.9% chance, Internacional beat Botafogo with a 24.7% chance, and Atletico-MG beat Figueirense with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 21 (before the first match) against those on August 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | Libertadores | 40.0% | 52.4% | +12.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 79.3% | 68.5% | −10.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 21.5% | 31.7% | +10.1 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 70.9% | 80.8% | +9.9 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 16.1% | 7.5% | −8.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 15.9% | 24.4% | +8.5 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 34.6% | 26.9% | −7.8 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 25.2% | 17.6% | −7.6 |
| Santos | Champion | 9.4% | 16.9% | +7.4 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 17.3% | 10.0% | −7.3 |
