Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 7 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat São Caetano with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 14 (before the first match) against those on October 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Libertadores | 19.0% | 93.6% | +74.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 11.1% | 70.5% | +59.4 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 34.0% | 91.0% | +57.0 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 53.5% | 3.3% | −50.2 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 37.8% | 85.4% | +47.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 39.4% | 84.5% | +45.1 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 46.3% | 6.5% | −39.8 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 38.5% | 0.7% | −37.7 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 47.6% | 81.2% | +33.6 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 2.9% | 34.1% | +31.2 |
