Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat Internacional with a 12.2% chance and Ponte Preta beat Athletico-PR with a 17.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 22 (before the first match) against those on April 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 40.8% | 16.4% | −24.4 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 44.7% | 20.5% | −24.1 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 21.6% | 37.9% | +16.3 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 28.6% | 43.2% | +14.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 39.3% | 25.0% | −14.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 13.1% | 26.8% | +13.7 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 18.4% | 32.1% | +13.7 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 23.6% | 10.5% | −13.1 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 11.6% | 24.5% | +12.9 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 42.4% | 55.1% | +12.7 |
